Allan Lichtman 13 Keys Prediction 2024 Predictions. If six or more of the keys are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose the election. Allan lichtman, widely regarded as the “nostradamus” of us presidential elections, has long been celebrated for his “13 keys” model, which has correctly predicted nine out of the last ten elections.however, his recent forecast—projecting kamala harris’s victory over donald trump—missed the mark, marking a significant blemish on his record.

Historian allan lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he’s done it without the use of polling data. Allan lichtman, widely regarded as the “nostradamus” of us presidential elections, has long been celebrated for his “13 keys” model, which has correctly predicted nine out of the last ten elections.however, his recent forecast—projecting kamala harris’s victory over donald trump—missed the mark, marking a significant blemish on his record.